2025 7

Volatility of innovative and informational changes in the national economy and strategies for protection of the state’s economic interests taking into account the management of iteration risk

Hutsaliuk O., 
Academician of the AES of Ukraine, Doctor in Economics, Professor,
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6541-4912
e-mail: alex-g.88@ukr.net
PZHE “Rauf Ablyazov Eastern European University”, Cherkasy
Bondar Iu., 
PhD in Economics, Associate Professor,
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2269-6208
e-mail: cooperjulia@ukr.net
Volodymyr Vynnychenko Central Ukrainian State University, Kropyvnytskyi
Shyshka І., 
Doctor in Economics, Associate Professor,
ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-4365-8638
e-mail: shyshka0908@gmail.com
Classical Private University, Zaporizhzhia
Chudaieva І.,
Doctor in Economics, Professor,
ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7759-2372
e-mail: iiaandia@ukr.net
PZHE “Rauf Ablyazov Eastern European University”, Cherkasy

Citation Format
Hutsaliuk O., Bondar Iu., Shyshka І., Chudaieva І. Volatility of innovative and informational changes in the national economy and strategies for protection of the state’s economic interests taking into account the management of iteration risk. Management of Economy: Theory and Practice. Chumachenko’s Annals: collection of scientific papers / Institute of Industrial Economics of the NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv, 2025. P. 99-114. https://doi.org/10.37405/2221-1187.2025.99-114

Language
 Ukrainian

Resume
The article examines the essence and dynamics of volatility in innovation and information changes within the national economy, manifested through the uneven pace of technological renewal, digitalization of production processes, and transformation of market structures. It is determined that innovation and information volatility generates increased uncertainty in the economic environment, affecting the effectiveness of state policies for security and development. The study substantiates the need to develop strategies for protecting the state’s economic interests, taking into account risks associated with the instability of technological flows, digital threats, information asymmetry, and global competition for intellectual resources. A concept of risk management for iterations of innovation processes is proposed, based on systematic monitoring of macroeconomic indicators, assessment of technological dependence, and adaptive modeling of strategic scenarios. Particular attention is paid to the integration of risk management tools into public regulation of innovation activity to ensure sustainable development of the national economy. The article also explores ways to enhance the effectiveness of protective mechanisms through the digital transformation of management decisions, the use of artificial intelligence in crisis forecasting, and the establishment of a multilevel risk control system. The research results can be applied in the development of national economic security strategies, optimization of decision-making in innovation policy, and improvement of strategic planning mechanisms under growing volatility of the information and economic environment.

Keywords
volatility, innovation and information changes, economic security, protection strategy, national economy, risk management, digitalization, public administration, technological transformation, adaptive modeling.

Referensces

  1. Miaomiao, Li, Zhaoxing, Hao, Meng, Luan, Haibo, Li, & Guikun, Cao (2021). The Impact of Innovation Investment Volatility on Technological Innovation of Enterprises in Different Life Cycles. Mathematical Problem in Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/2442071
  2. Bowers, J., & Khorakian, A. (2014). Integrating risk management in the innovation project Available to Purchase. European Journal of Innovation Management, 17 (1), 25–40. https://doi.org/10.1108/EJIM-01-2013-0010
  3. Meiyu, Liu, Chengyou, Li, Shuo, Wang, & Qinghai, Li (2023). Digital transformation, risk-taking, and innovation: Evidence from data on listed enterprises in China. Journal of Innovation & Knowledge, 8(1). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jik.2023.100332
  4. Вondar, Iu., & Zaslavska, A. V. (2024, March 27-28). Financial instruments as a factor of activating innovations in business. Current problems of modern business: accounting, financial and management aspects [materials of the VI International Scientific and Practical Internet Conference] (pp. 81-84). Lviv: LNUP [in Ukrainian].
  5. Hutsaliuk, O. M. (2017). Integration basis for managing the competitive positioning of corporate enterprises. Business Navigator, 4-1 (43), 136–142 [in Ukrainian].
  6. Mazzucato, M. (2003). Risk, diversity and volatility: growth, innovation and stock prices in the early stages of industry development. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 13(5), 491-512. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-003-0167-7 [in Ukrainian].
  7. Sidorov, O. (2024). Conceptual model of strategic support of innovative and informational changes in the national economy of Ukraine. Bulletin of Sumy National Agrarian University. Series “Economics and Management”, 3 (99). https://doi.org/10.32782/bsnau.2024.3.3 [in Ukrainian].
  8. Sidorov, O. (2024). Sequence of research into the role of innovation and information changes in the functioning of the national economy. Kyiv Economic Scientific Journal, 5, 129-135. https://doi.org/10.32782/2786-765X/2024-5-19 [in Ukrainian].
  9. Bondar, Iu. A., & Kushneryova, D. Yu. (2024, March 14-15). Financial innovations and development of economic systems. Globalization and development of innovation systems: trends, challenges, prospects [materials of the II International Scientific and Practical Conference] (pp. 282-285). Kharkiv: State Biotechnological University [in Ukrainian].
  10. Hutsaliuk, O. M. (2016). Economic justification of the process of formation of corporate integration associations. Scientific Bulletin of Uzhgorod University. Series: “Economy”, 1(47), 330–334 [in Ukrainian].
  11. Dykha, M., & Dykha, V. (2023). The level of innovative development of Ukraine in the global dimension and outlining its prospects. Kyiv Economic Scientific Journal, 2, 5-15. https://doi.org/10.32782/2786-765X/2023-2-1 [in Ukrainian].
  12. Horobinska, M. (2021). Risks in the innovative activity of enterprises. Economy and Society, 26. https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2021-26-51 [in Ukrainian].
  13. Mohylna, L., & Vorobyov, I. (2024). Risk management of innovative and investment projects of an enterprise. Economy and Society, 66. https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2024-66-130 [in Ukrainian].
  14. Sosnovska, O., & Dedenko, L. (2019). Risk management as a tool for ensuring the sustainable functioning of an enterprise in conditions of uncertainty. European Scientific Journal of Economic and Financial Innovations, 1(3), 70-79. https://doi.org/10.32750/2019-0106 [in Ukrainian].
  15. Hutsaliuk, O. M., & Nebaba, N. O. (2017). Sociocultural aspects of the distribution and implementation of corporate control in an integrated corporate association. Effective Economy, 10. URL: http://www.economy.nayka.com.ua/?op=1&z=7207 [in Ukrainian].
  16. Lytyuga, Y. V., & Revutska, N. V. (2012). Risks of innovative activity and modern outsourcing models of its implementation. Strategy of Economic Development of Ukraine, 30, 61–67. [in Ukrainian].
  17. Hryvkivska, O., & Horinnyi, M. (2025). Risks of innovative activity of food industry enterprises in war conditions. Kyiv Economic Scientific Journal, 9, 70-75. https://doi.org/10.32782/2786-765X/2025-9-9 [in Ukrainian].
  18. Hutsaliuk, O. M. (2020). Substantiation of the organizational and economic mechanism for regulating the production costs of enterprises of the agro-industrial complex of Ukraine. Peculiarities of the socio-economic progress of the national economy in the context of information and technological challenges [collective monograph] (pp. 102-111). Truskavets: Posvit [in Ukrainian].
  19. Hutsaliuk, O. M., & Bondar, Iu.A. (2020). Methods for regulating and optimizing the production costs of agricultural products in the system of management accounting of small and medium-sized businesses. Scientific Bulletin of the Ivano-Frankivsk National Technical University of Oil and Gas. Series: Economics and Management in the Oil and Gas Industry, 2 (22), 51-59. https://doi.org/10.31471/2409-0948-2020-2(22)-51-59 [in Ukrainian].

Full Text .pdf

Received: 28.08.2025
Accepted: 26.09.2025
Published: 29.12.2025